Researchers at Colorado State University released their preliminary 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast on Tuesday, predicting 19 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. The forecast significantly exceeds the 30-year averages of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
The elevated forecast is driven primarily by continued warm sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic basin, which are running 0.8 degrees Celsius above average. Additionally, forecasters expect neutral to weak La Nina conditions to persist through the summer, which tends to reduce wind shear and favor hurricane development.
Lead forecaster Dr. Phil Klotzbach emphasized that coastal residents should begin their hurricane preparations now rather than waiting for the June 1 start of the season. Federal emergency management officials echoed the call, noting that early preparation saves lives and reduces the economic impact of landfalling storms.
