NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has released its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook, predicting 19 to 23 named storms with 9 to 12 becoming hurricanes and 4 to 6 reaching major hurricane intensity — well above the 30-year average.
Driving Factors
Multiple climate signals are converging to create conditions favorable for an active season.
- La Niña conditions expected to persist through November, reducing wind shear over the Atlantic
- Sea surface temperatures in the main development region running 1.2°C above average
- West African monsoon projections suggest enhanced tropical wave activity
- Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation remains in its warm phase
Preparation Guidance
Emergency management officials urge coastal residents from Texas to Maine to review evacuation routes, update insurance policies, and assemble emergency supplies before the June 1 season start. FEMA has pre-positioned supplies in Gulf Coast and Southeastern warehouses.
