Leading forecasters are predicting another above-average Atlantic hurricane season for 2026, with warm ocean temperatures providing ample fuel for tropical development.
Predictions
- Colorado State University: 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes
- NOAA: 17-22 named storms, 8-11 hurricanes, 4-6 major (updated May)
- TSR (UK): 20 named storms, 10 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes
Key Factors
Atlantic sea surface temperatures are running 1-2°F above normal — the primary fuel for hurricane intensification. A developing La Nina pattern reduces wind shear, allowing storms to organize more easily. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation remains in its warm phase.
Preparation Checklist
If you live in a hurricane-prone area, prepare NOW — not when a storm is approaching:
- Review your insurance policy (flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period)
- Stock 3-7 days of water (1 gallon per person per day), food, and medications
- Know your evacuation zone and route
- Photograph your home and possessions for insurance documentation
